61% of traders on Polymarket are betting that Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 by the end of the year.

According to Golden Finance, data from Polymarket shows that currently 61% of traders expect Bitcoin to fall below $100,000 before the end of 2025, down from 72% on Monday. Analysts point out that if the buying demand from digital asset treasury and institutional buyers cannot offset the downward pressure from large sell-offs, the likelihood of Bitcoin breaking through the “psychological barrier” of $100,000 will increase. Although some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s surge to $200,000 before 2026, most market participants bet on it falling below $100,000 by the end of the year. As of the time of writing, the latest trading price of Bitcoin is $112,081, and it has not been below $100,000 since June.