Jin10 reported on July 7th, local time on July 7th, Iranian President Pezhakiziyan claimed in an interview with American journalist Tucker Carlson that Israel attempted to assassinate him during the 12-day conflict between the two countries last month but failed. In response to the question of whether he believes Israel had attempted to assassinate him, Pezhakiziyan stated that Israel "indeed tried and took corresponding actions," but "failed." Pezhakiziyan claimed that the mastermind behind the assassination plot was not the United States, but Israel. Israel launched attacks on targets within Iran on June 13th, and Iran subsequently retaliated. After the outbreak of the conflict, both sides launched multiple rounds of counterattacks. This round of conflict resulted in the deaths of senior Iranian military commanders and nuclear scientists. There has been no response from Israel yet.

Jin10 data news on June 25th, Morgan Stanley expects that The Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates seven times in 2026, starting from March 2026, eventually lowering the Intrerest Rate to 2.5% to 2.75%. The current Federal Fund Intrerest Rate set by The Federal Reserve (FED) is 4.25%-4.5%, which is 175 basis points higher than Morgan Stanley's ultimate Intrerest Rate expectation. According to The Federal Reserve (FED)'s dot plot in June, The Federal Reserve (FED) expects two rate cuts in 2025, while Morgan Stanley expects no cuts in 2025; The Federal Reserve (FED) anticipates one rate cut in 2026, while Morgan Stanley foresees seven rate cuts in 2026.

Jin10 data reported on June 19, the招商宏观研报 stated that overall, there is little incremental information from this meeting. The wording of the meeting statement and speech largely continues the content from May. During the Q&A, Powell repeatedly hinted that The Federal Reserve (FED) will make decisions only after inflation fully reflects tariffs. Combined with the SEP's downward revision of growth expectations and upward revision of inflation and unemployment rate expectations, the FED's forward judgment on stagflation risk is the reason for its reluctance to cut interest rates. Although the dot plot still indicates expectations for two rate cuts within the year, there are significant internal divisions within the FED. Looking ahead, the probability of both the Middle East situation and tariffs escalating simultaneously is low. If the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, pushing up oil prices and driving non-core inflation higher, then tariff policies will further ease and relieve core inflation pressures. A rate cut within the year is indeed highly probable, but the variable is whether the number of rate cuts will meet the expectation of two.

On June 19, analyst R. Burns McKinney said that investors know that interest rates will not change, but they are concerned about the Fed's forecast of interest rate cuts between now and the end of the year. The previous dot plot predicted 2 rate cuts, and investors are worried that this forecast will be lowered to 1. However, the Fed kept its expected rate cuts at 2, and in general, investors like to see that. However, Powell's comments also suggest that the FOMC raised its year-end inflation estimate and lowered its guidance for full-year GDP growth. The slowdown in GDP growth may be the reason why the central bank maintained its previous expectations; However, investors are concerned that the higher inflation outlook means fewer rate cuts in the future.

Jin10 data June 19 news, analyst Roseanne Briggen stated that traders originally expected the FOMC to take a hawkish stance, but the reality is quite the opposite. The Federal Reserve kept its stance as expected, but the dot plot shows a 50 basis point rate cut in 2025, totaling two cuts. However, before the announcement, traders were worried that the number of rate cuts in 2025 would be reduced by one.

Jin10 reported on June 19 that market analysts stated that due to the dot plot remaining mostly unchanged, the US bond market may behave relatively constrained, at least before Powell's speech. We do not consider the economic forecast report itself to be moderate, but rather just moderately compared to most expectations. This is consistent with our expectations, at least for this meeting.

Golden Ten Data on June 19, in the June dot plot, Federal Reserve officials lowered their expectations for the number of interest rate cuts by the end of 2027. Even so, the 2-year Treasury yield, which follows Fed policy expectations, fell slightly with the release of the dot plot. Traders may be reacting to Fed officials' forecasts of a slowdown in economic growth compared to their March estimates. The Fed now expects economic growth of 1.4% this year and 1.6% next year, compared to 1.7% and 1.8% in March.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 data reports, the Federal Reserve's dot plot shows that among 19 officials, 7 believe there will be no rate cuts in 2025 (compared to 4 in March), 2 believe there should be a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points in 2025, which means 1 rate cut (compared to 4 in March), 8 believe there should be a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points in 2025, which means 2 rate cuts (compared to 9 in March), and 2 believe there should be a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points in 2025, which means 3 rate cuts (compared to 2 in March).

Golden Finance reports that the Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates a forecast of a 25 basis point rate cut in both 2026 and 2027. The Federal Reserve dot plot: Among the 19 officials, 7 believe that there will be no interest rate cuts in 2025, 2 expect one rate cut, 8 expect two rate cuts, and 2 expect three rate cuts.

On June 19, Jin10 reported that the dot plot from The Federal Reserve (FED) indicates two expected interest rate cuts in 2025.

Golden Ten Data on June 19, financial website Fxstreet analysis said that the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep policy unchanged at its fourth consecutive meeting. Currently, there is about a 70% chance that the Fed will choose to cut interest rates for the first time of the year in September. Therefore, the revisions in the dot plot and Powell's comments may provide key clues as to the timing and frequency of rate cuts. If the revised economic projections show that policymakers still expect a total of 50 basis points of rate cuts this year, the USD could regain selling pressure amid an immediate reaction. Downward revisions to GDP growth and/or inflation expectations could exacerbate the USD sell-off. Conversely, if the dot plot highlights that officials now expect only one rate cut this year, the dollar could strengthen. Investors are now pricing in a 70% probability that the Fed will cut rates at least twice in 2025. This market positioning suggests that the US dollar will have strong bullish potential in the event of a hawkish surprise.

On June 19, Morningstar analysts said that economic forecasts are always difficult, but the Federal Reserve is in a particularly difficult situation this summer. The last time the Fed released its projections was before Trump's statement on tariffs on March 2 that could affect the market. At the time, the FOMC expected two rate cuts in 2025. Since then, sticky inflation, the shock of tariff hikes, and possible policy and regulatory changes in the Trump administration have upended the outlook. As a result, analysts say fewer rate cuts are likely this year. Analysts say it's not surprising that there will only be one rate cut in 2025. Bond futures traders have significantly delayed their expectations of a rate cut this year. Analysts said they would be more surprised by the dot plot where there was no rate cut at all, which would be interpreted as "quite hawkish".

On June 19, Ernst & Young economist Gregory Daco said that the Federal Reserve is expected to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%. The Fed's recent comments have reinforced a wait-and-see approach, with officials not showing urgency to adjust policy amid increased uncertainty about the economic outlook. The policy statement probably won't change much. The FOMC is likely to reiterate that inflation remains "a bit high", labor market conditions are "solid" and the unemployment rate is "stable at a low level". It is likely to reiterate that "the risk of higher unemployment and rising inflation has increased", especially given the uncertainty of the economic outlook. The dot plot for median interest rate expectations is expected to remain unchanged, with two 25bp rate cuts by the end of the year. The dot plot is still expected to show a further 50bp cut to 3.4% in 2026 and another cut to 3.1% in 2027. Policymakers are neutral on the long term

Golden Finance reports that QCP's analysis points out that in the context of rising geopolitical conflicts and inflationary pressures, The Federal Reserve (FED) faces a complex situation in its interest rate decision tonight. The interest rate meeting of The Federal Reserve (FED) tonight is expected to keep the Intrerest Rate unchanged while releasing hawkish signals, emphasizing the new inflationary upside risks brought about by geopolitical uncertainties. Current market expectations indicate that there will be two interest rate cuts in 2025 and two more in 2026. However, QCP believes that the Federal Reserve may lower its expectations for the number of interest rate cuts in the latest dot plot. If the Federal Reserve makes such an adjustment, it could put pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin and a broader range of digital assets, due to reduced liquidity expectations.

On June 18, Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at financial services firm Ebury, said that the Fed's two rate cuts in 2025 will still be the base case for most policymakers, and given the severe uncertainty over tariffs, they may not be confident enough to materially change their views. However, there is a risk that a small number of officials believe that this year's rate cuts will be lower than previously expected, which may be enough to turn the tide and favor a rate cut of only 25 basis points in 2025. The hawkish dot plot and Powell's comments highlighting the lack of urgency to lower interest rates could provide some room for USD strength in the second half of the week.

Francois Rimeu of Credit Mutuel Asset Management stated that The Federal Reserve (FED)'s meeting this week will focus on economic forecasts and adjustments to the dot plot, and it is expected that there will be no interest rate cuts. The slowdown in economic growth and persistent inflation may lead the FED to maintain a cautious stance.

Gate News bot, Credit Mutuel Asset Management strategist Francois Rimeu said in a note that the key issue at the Fed's meeting this week is the correction of economic projections and dot plots. Adjustments in expectations related to economic policy developments should reflect slower growth, longer-than-expected inflation, despite the surprise of recent months, and a weaker labor market. Against the backdrop of stagflation risks and high levels of uncertainty, the Fed is likely to reiterate its cautious stance. Therefore, as long as the hard data does not clearly justify easing, the Fed will hold off on any new rate cuts. In line with the market, the strategy expects the Fed to keep its key interest rate unchanged this week.

Francois Rimeu, a strategist at Credit Mutuel Asset Management, pointed out that the upcoming meeting of The Federal Reserve (FED) will focus on economic forecasts and policy adjustments. Although recent economic data has been surprising, amid the risks of stagflation and uncertainty, the FED is likely to maintain a cautious stance, expecting to keep the key Intrerest Rate unchanged and delay any rate cuts.

Gate News bot message, This week marks a period of intensive policy announcements from central banks around the world, with multiple countries including the United States, Japan, and the United Kingdom set to release their latest interest rate decisions. Data shows that last week, the U.S. May CPI year-on-year rate was 2.4%, which is below market expectations. Currently, futures market data indicates a 99% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate level in this round. The market will focus on the Federal Reserve's economic forecasts and the dot plot for guidance on the future direction of monetary policy. Source: Wu Shuo

Jin10 data reported on June 13th, LBBW senior fixed income analyst Elmar Voelker stated in a report that the biggest market fluctuation potential at the Federal Reserve's meeting next week is the new key interest rate forecast. So far, the so-called "dot plot" suggests that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year, while the money market pricing is almost entirely in line with the Federal Reserve's forecast. In our view, adjusting the dot plot may catch some market participants off guard.

Jin10 data reported on June 11, as the price rise in May was milder than expected, traders are slightly shifting their bets towards the prospect of interest rate cuts before October. Investors will closely follow the Federal Reserve's dot plot in June, looking for evidence of how Fed officials are considering policy for the remainder of the year.

BlockBeats news, on March 20, QCP released its daily market observation stating that last night's FOMC meeting provided the long-awaited catalyst for the market, pushing the Bitcoin price to break through $85,000, resulting in a significant rise. The Federal Reserve decided to begin tapering its "quantitative tightening" program starting in April. The market interprets this as an indirect interest rate cut, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin easing policies as early as June. At the time of writing, the market expects three rate cuts in 2025, scheduled for June, September, and December. Besides the current excitement, the Federal Reserve's tone is clearly cautious. Policymakers revised the economic growth forecast down to 1.7% (a reduction of 0.4 percentage points), while raising the inflation forecast to 2.8%, indicating that the risk of stagflation is increasing. Moreover, the Federal Reserve's dot plot shows that compared to last year...

The Federal Reserve remains cautious in the face of tariff uncertainties, showing concerns about "stagflation-like" conditions, but Powell hinted that no drastic actions will be taken. The market responded positively, but caution is still needed regarding the risks of economic downturn. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates again this year, potentially in the third quarter.

21:00-7:00 Keywords: Federal Reserve, Ripple, Circle, Trump 1. Trump will attend the U.S. Digital Assets Summit; 2. Federal Reserve Dot Plot: Two rate cuts expected in 2025; 3. Circle mints approximately 250 million USDC on Solana; 4. The Federal Reserve continues to keep interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations; 5. Ripple CEO: The US SEC will abandon its appeal against Ripple; 6. The cryptocurrency wallet infrastructure company Privy raised $15 million in financing; 7. The Federal Reserve significantly lowered its economic growth forecast for 2025 and raised its inflation rate estimate; 8. Powell: The U.S. economy is generally strong, and surveys show that economic uncertainty is increasing.

On March 20, Jin Shi Data reported that market analyst Saraiva stated that it is much more difficult for Powell to shift the discussion about the impact of fiscal policy on the economy and how the Federal Reserve might respond. With these changes in forecasts and the now more hawkish dot plot, it will be hard for him to argue that there haven't been significant changes. Although Powell may still claim to maintain a "wait-and-see" attitude, Federal Reserve officials clearly have concerns.

According to Jinshi Data on March 20, the median of the Federal Reserve's dot plot shows that the Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice in 2025, each by 25 basis points, and to cut rates twice in 2026, each by 25 basis points, consistent with expectations from December. However, the number of officials supporting no rate cut or fewer cuts in 2025 has increased, with those supporting no rate cut rising from 1 to 4, those supporting one rate cut rising from 3 to 4, those supporting two rate cuts decreasing from 10 to 9, and those supporting three rate cuts decreasing from 3 to 2.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot shows that the 19 officials have four different expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025: 4 officials believe there should be no rate cut, 4 officials believe there should be a 25 basis point cut, 9 officials believe there should be a 50 basis point cut, and 2 officials believe there should be a 75 basis point cut, with no one believing there should be a 100 or 125 basis point cut.

Golden Finance reports that the Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates two rate cuts are expected in 2025, the same as the two cuts anticipated last December.

The long-standing tension between President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky erupted into a war of words at the White House. The relationship began with Trump's failure to persuade Zelensky to investigate Biden's son, which led to Trump's impeachment. Zelensky attempted to repair the relationship, but his efforts backfired. Vice President Pence argued with Zelensky, with Trump endorsing Pence as the 'attack dog.' The plot is unusual and reflects careful planning.

Golden Ten Data News on February 19th, the Brazilian Attorney General's Office accused former President Jair Bolsonaro and 33 allies of planning a coup and attempting to overturn the results of the 2022 presidential election. Brazilian Attorney General Paulo Gonet said in the indictment submitted to the Federal Supreme Court that Bolsonaro was also aware of and agreed to a plot to assassinate current President Lula.

The FBI in the United States thwarted a kidnapping case involving the theft of Crypto Assets, which planned to kidnap a Miami jeweler and steal $2 million in Crypto Assets. The group arranged the kidnapping operation through Telegram chats, but a confidential informant reported the kidnapping plan to law enforcement authorities.

Odaily Planet Daily News, Bloomberg columnist Clive Crook suggests that in light of the poor communication at the recent December meeting, the Fed's monetary policy framework review should seriously consider dropping the idea of the 'dot plot'. The Fed is about to embark on a review of its monetary policy strategy, tools, and communication. This month's rate cut and the market's reaction underscore the need for such a review. Clive Crook

Golden Finance reported that QCP Capital posted on its official channel that hawkish FOMC triggered a sharp drop in all risk assets. NASDAQ big dump 3.56%, S&P 500 down 2.95%, BTC down 6.13%. While the 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed was in line with expectations, the root of the panic can be attributed to the downward adjustment of the dot plot. Due to sustained inflation, the Fed now expects to cut interest rates twice by 2025, while the market generally expects three rate cuts. During the Asian trading session, BTC dropped to a daily low of $98,800, with several altcoins falling by at least 10%, clearing $258.6 million worth of long positions in the market.

According to the SoSoValue macro zone, at the interest rate meeting on December 18, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, lowering the target range of the federal funds Intrerest Rate to 4.25%-4.50%. For the pace of interest rate cuts next year, the Fed has adjusted its expectations from the original "four rate cuts" to "two" through the latest dot plot. In addition, the Fed raised its expectations for future core PCE inflation and GDP growth, which was in line with Powell's remarks, all sending signals that were more "hawkish" than the market expected. On the data front, the VIX index climbed to its highest point since early August (when Japan's Central Bank raised interest rates). SoSoValue analysts said, FOMC

Jinshi Data News on December 19th, US Intrerest Rate futures priced that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by about 49 basis points in 2025, which is close to the 50 basis points predicted by the Federal Reserve's dot plot. The market priced a rate cut of 75 basis points before the Intrerest Rate decision was announced.

On December 19th, Jinshi Data analyst Catarina stated that another key point worth following in the Federal Reserve's economic forecast summary is the Fed officials' estimate of their so-called "long-term" federal funds Interest Rate. This is essentially their estimate of the neutral Interest Rate level, which is neither stimulating nor dragging down the economy. The estimate of this number has been rising over the past year, as the economy has remained strong even in the case of rising Interest Rates. Fed officials and economists now believe that this may mean a higher neutral Interest Rate. This may be caused by several factors, including increasing US debt burden (which typically pushes up borrowing costs) and a faster rise in productivity (a recent phenomenon with somewhat mysterious driving factors, but may include artificial intelligence). In September, the median estimate of the neutral Interest Rate was 2.9%. Economists expect this indicator to rise to around 3% this month, compared to a year ago.

BlockBeats news, on December 19th, the Fed's dot plot showed that it is expected to cut interest rates twice in 2025.（9

On December 19th, Jinshi Data reported that Adam, an analyst at the financial website Forexlive, analyzed the news.

Golden Finance reported that QCP Capital's analysis suggests that the last Federal Reserve meeting of 2024 will be held tonight, which may cut interest rates by 25 basis points and release this year's final dot plot. Although the Fed meeting is not expected to have a significant impact on the crypto market, it may cause a fluctuation, which could result in a large-scale liquidation. In addition, the technical outlook for BTC also appears to be cautious, showing a bearish divergence on the daily chart. If there is a decline, don't be shaken out of the market, because 2025 is still ahead.

1. Dutch Bank: Expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but compared to September, the dot plot may show a hawkish shift. 2. Bank of Canada: Expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the latest dot plot from the Fed will show only two rate cuts in 2025. 3. Pantheon Macroeconomics: It is expected that there will be a unanimous agreement to cut interest rates, given the persistent inflation that remains above the target, pausing the rate cuts will be the default option at the Fed's January meeting. 4. Bank of America: Expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Powell is expected to suggest a slower pace of rate cuts or a pause in January. The dot plot is expected to show three rate cuts next year. 5. BNP Paribas: It is expected that the Fed will adopt a hawkish rate cut policy, which may open the door to pausing further rate cuts, but the duration of the pause is uncertain. 6.

Jinshi Data December 18th News, as the market seeks clues about next year's policy path, Central Bank's actions are closely followed. OCBC strategist suggests keeping Thailand's Interest Rate unchanged and lowering Indonesia's Interest Rate, but this will be a difficult decision. OCBC Bank said that at the FOMC meeting, rate cuts also seemed certain, and what people follow is the updated dot plot guidance to understand the views of Fed members on the rate-cutting trajectory. Strategists point out that the September dot plot shows four rate cuts in 2025, but the market currently expects only two rate cuts. If the dot plot shows two or fewer rate cuts, the market may see it as hawkish, which could strengthen the US dollar. OCBC Bank said that three rate cuts are seen as less aggressive and may bring some relief to ASEAN currencies, including the Indonesian Rupiah. If the dot plot still shows four rate cuts, the US dollar is expected to weaken.

The Royal Bank of Canada Capital Market (RBC Capital Markets) said Fed officials may have hinted at only two rate cuts next year when they updated their quarterly dot plot projections this week, compared with four rate cuts expected in September. The Fed's median September dot plot estimate implies a 100-basis point rate cut in 2024 and another 100-point cut in 2025. "Fed officials' speeches since the November meeting have pretty much locked in 25 basis points of rate cuts," said RBC's Blake Gwinn and Izaac

On December 18, Jin10 Data reported that gold slipped on Tuesday under the pressure of a strong US dollar and rising US bond yields. Investors are following the Fed's last policy meeting of the year, with expectations of gradual interest rate cuts in 2025 increasing. The market generally expects the Fed to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, and its latest economic forecasts and dot plot are also closely followed, which could reshape expectations for the trajectory of interest rates in 2025 and 2026. Therefore, the question is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the current market expectations, according to market analyst Fawad.

Odaily Planet Daily News Dongwu Securities research report shows that we expect the FOMC Fed to cut interest rates by 25bps to [4.25, 4.5]% in December. The new dot plot may raise the 2025 policy Interest Rate guidance by 25-50bps. Fed Chairman Powell may give more hints of pausing interest rate cuts in the press conference, weakening the market's expectation of interest rate cuts in January next year. Looking ahead, we expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25bps in March and June 2025, respectively, but 25 H2

Jinshi data news on December 12th, CICC research report stated that although the core commodity prices in the United States may have rebounded due to the impact of hurricanes, the rate of increase in housing rents has slowed to the lowest level since 2021, easing concerns about higher inflation in the market. Overall, this inflation data has opened the door for the Fed to drop interest rates next week, but we also predict a 'hawkish rate cut' next week, with the Fed likely to cut its guidance on rate cuts in the dot plot. We predict that the new dot plot will show a total of 2 rate cuts in 2025 (down from 4 times previously), and the federal funds interest rate may be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter next year.

Federal Reserve officials said they will refer to the September dot plot to consider a rate cut. The neutral Intrerest Rate should slow down, inflation must continue to improve, and if there is a reversal, it must be determined whether it is just a temporary Fluctuation. Recent inflation is slightly higher than the target level, and if it persists, it will lead to an excessively high long-term inflation level.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said Israel has uncovered Hezbollah's plot to launch attacks using underground tunnels and found advanced Russian military equipment in its arsenal. This attack plan is more destructive than Hamas' attack on October 7th last year.

The US Treasury market's expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November and December is consistent with the median in the dot plot, reflecting investors' expectations aligning more closely with the Fed's expectations. According to Felipe Villarroel's statement, the Fed's baseline scenario is a soft landing for the economy, with a potential rise rate close to 2%, which also implies that the neutral interest rate needs to be set at around 3%.

Gold Finance reported that Williams of the Federal Reserve said that the 50 basis points rate cut in September is not a "rule for our future actions", and the officials' latest Interest Rate forecast dot plot is a "very good baseline scenario".

The suspect, Laus, in the assassination plot against former US President Trump, will continue to be detained. He was previously charged with illegal possession of firearms. The evidence provided by the prosecutor is sufficient to support the continued detention of Laus. The Governor of Florida has called for a life imprisonment for Laus.